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These robust gains come after a lackluster year for energy stocks. The energy sector fell roughly 5% in 2023, underperforming the broader S&P 500’s double-digit gains as concerns about the global economy hurt energy demand. Some investors say that energy stocks are poised for more gains, given the continued geopolitical turmoil and the US economy’s resilience. Energy stocks often do well when the economy is strong, since there’s more energy demand to fuel goods- and services production. Plug Power shares have slipped 34% this year, SolarEdge Technologies shares have tumbled 25% and Enphase Energy shares have slid 8%.
Persons: Nancy Curtin, , , Bob Doll, he’s, Donald Trump, Trump, Matt Egan, ” Alex Durante, Read, Alicia Wallace, Price Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN — Energy, Marathon Petroleum, Exxon Mobil, Occidental Petroleum, Halliburton, West Texas, Brent, Federal Reserve, Energy, RBC Capital Markets, Crossmark Global Investments, Organization of, Petroleum, Clean Energy, SolarEdge Technologies, Enphase Energy, Tax Foundation, CNN, Trump, of Labor Statistics, PPI Locations: New York, Ukraine, OPEC, China, Mexico
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomic crosscurrents creating questions around earnings season, says Crossmark's Bob DollBob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments CEO and CIO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what the week's commodity performance tells Doll, if there's a challenging period ahead for equity markets, and more.
Persons: Bob Doll Bob Doll Organizations: Global
How the corporate America is handling sticky inflation and the prospect of higher interest rates will be top of mind for investors in the week ahead, after this week's choppy moves. The first-quarter earnings season, which kicked off Friday, will give Wall Street insight into how businesses expect to weather an environment of elevated interest rates. More macro data, such as U.S. retail sales, will give insight into how the consumer is handling higher pricing pressures. First-quarter earnings season underway The corporate earnings season kicks into high gear in the week ahead. This week, the small cap Russell 2000 is on track for a losing week, down by more than 1%.
Persons: Bob Doll, CNBC's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, FactSet, Robert Haworth, Haworth, Charles Schwab, Johnson, D.R, KeyCorp Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Exxon Mobil, Costco, Apple, Crossmark, Investments, Investors, Bank of America, Consumer, U.S . Bank, Index, Retail, T Bank, Housing, Manufacturing, Hunt Transport Services, United Airlines, Johnson, Bank of New York Mellon, UnitedHealth Group, Northern Trust, CSX, Discover Financial Services, Prologis, U.S . Bancorp, Philadelphia Fed, American Express, Procter, Gamble, Fifth Third Bancorp, Schlumberger Locations: America, China, NAHB, Vegas Sands, U.S, Horton
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecession will still happen as Covid savings have run out, says Crossmark's Bob DollBob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments CIO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why valuations aren't more of a concern, Doll's guidance on a recession, and more.
Persons: Bob Doll Bob Doll Organizations: Global Investments
Strong earnings, or rate cuts? Instead of worrying about weak earnings growth and persistently high interest rates, investors are now counting on the opposite. Markets should cut their expectations by half and prepare for mid-single-digit profit growth and three to four rate cuts, Doll said. At that point, a flurry of rate cuts from the Fed wouldn't be enough to save stocks, the Crossmark CIO said. However, there are two mega-cap growth stocks that Doll is enamored with: Meta Platforms ( META ) and Microsoft ( MSFT ).
Persons: , Bob Doll, Doll, who's, . Doll, they're, I'm Organizations: Service, Global Investments, Business, Federal Reserve, BlackRock, Consumer, Microsoft, IBM Locations: Nuveen, What's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket can't 'have its cake and eat it too' with hot economy and rate cuts: Crossmark's Bob DollEric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald head of equity derivatives & cross asset, and Bob Doll, Crossmark CEO, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action, the recent slate of earnings, new comments from Fed Chair Powell and more.
Persons: Bob Doll Eric Johnston, Cantor Fitzgerald, Bob Doll, Powell
S&P 500 futures also inched down 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures slipped just 0.03%. During Monday's main trading session, the S&P 500 lost 0.32%, pulling back from its record high from last week that was powered by megacap tech stocks. "There's a lot of momentum, but I'm worried about [the S&P 500 at] 20 times earnings, and that the Fed's not going to live up to [rate] cut expectations. And I don't see how we get double-digit earnings growth," Doll said on CNBC's "Closing Bell: Overtime" on Monday. On the economic front Tuesday, Wall Street will be keeping an eye out for the New York Fed's household debt and credit report for the fourth quarter.
Persons: Dow, Jerome Powell, Bob Doll, Doll, — I'm, Loretta Mester, Susan Collins, Eli Lilly, Amgen Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Palantir Technologies, NXP, Crossmark, Investments, New, Cleveland Fed, Boston Fed, Boeing, Spirit, DuPont, Grill, Ford Locations: New York
"If there is a regime shift, then what has worked could be quite different from what does work," McLennan said. That means the growth stocks that dominated for years may come back to earth in the mid-2020s. He also recommends that investors diversify away from growth stocks that thrived under low rates and instead broaden out to value-oriented names. Valuations explain 80% of a stock's returns over a decade, according to Bank of America. Smead sees energy in stocks in Canada also outperforming in the coming decade, as well as European banks.
Persons: , Peter Bates, Rowe Price, Damanick Dantes, We're, Dantes, you've, He's, Matt McLennan, McLennan, Kimball Brooker, Morningstar, Nicola Stafford, Stafford, it's, Molina, Bates, Russell, Cole Smead, that's, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, Bob Doll, Doll, Smead, Michael Sheldon, Sheldon, who's, there's, Chris Chen, Chen, Roth Organizations: Service, Business, Global, International, McLennan, First Eagle Global Fund, Eagle Investments, Goldman, Asset Management, Stock, Molina Healthcare, Vanguard Value, Healthcare, Bank of America, Comerica Wealth Management, MRB Partners, Canadian, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Energy, P Bank ETF, RDM Financial, Social Security, Social, Insight Financial, Trust, IRA Locations: Canada, Colmar, United States, Canadian, Europe, Treasuries
The week starts off with a bevy of unpleasant surprises for the markets and the economy but with maybe a hope of good news on the inflation front. “The decline in oil prices will feature prominently in explaining October's CPI and PPI reports. Core CPI likely slowed in October as well, with lower prices of new and used cars, lower airfares, and lower shelter costs all leaning the same way. PPI inflation likely moderated in October, too, with diesel prices following crude oil prices lower, albeit not by as much as gasoline. Powell’s comments were not anything new, but the timing seemed to suggest he was dampening down enthusiasm in the markets.
Persons: Moody’s, Mike Johnson, , Bob Doll, Republican Sen, Tim Scott of, David Cameron, Rishi Sunak, Stocks, Bill Adams, Waran Bhahirethan, ” Adams, Jerome Powell spooked, ” Powell, Oliver Rust, Sam Bullard, ” Bullard Organizations: U.S, AAA, Louisiana Republican, GOP, Senate, Crossmark Global Investments, Republican, Tim Scott of South Carolina, Conservative, Analysts, Comerica Bank, PPI, CPI, Federal Reserve, International Monetary Fund, Central Bank, , Wells Locations: U.S, Louisiana, Tim Scott of South, London, Iraq, Syria, Gaza City, September’s, Israel, Washington
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall-cap stocks will 'lead the way' as economy re-accelerates, says Richard BernsteinBob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments, and Richard Bernstein, Richard Bernstein Advisors, join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss today's stock gains, what this signals for the market, and more.
Persons: Richard Bernstein Bob Doll, Richard Bernstein Organizations: Investments, Richard Bernstein Advisors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe probability of a financial accident has 'certainly' gone up, says Crossmark's Bob DollBob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments CIO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss whether yields have separated from anything regarding inflation, whether Doll is paying attention to market parallels to 1987, and how this resolves itself.
Persons: Bob Doll Bob Doll, Doll Organizations: Global Investments
Storm clouds are growing over the U.S. economy as the third quarter winds down this week. There is the ongoing strike by United Auto Workers members against the major car manufacturers. There is the rising price of oil with the international benchmark Brent crude now sitting above $93 a barrel. Aiding the economy’s escape from a downturn has been an unusual set of circumstances that include falling inflation, rising wages and some leftover stimulus from the COVID pandemic. “Such a shutdown could leave a visible mark on the economy,” Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY Parthenon, said last week.
Persons: Bob Doll, ” Gregory Daco, ” Daco, ” Wells Organizations: United Auto Workers, Brent, Crossmark Advisors, Federal Reserve, , Fed Locations: U.S
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI don't think we've seen the high in yields yet, says Crossmark's Bob DollKeith Lerner, Truist Chief Market Strategist and Bob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments CIO, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action and Oracle quarterly results.
Persons: Bob Doll Keith Lerner, Bob Doll Organizations: Truist, Global Investments CIO
In theory, these higher interest rates push down demand and slow inflation by forcing companies to cut prices to attract stretched-thin customers. And Americans have been spending right through the higher interest rates: Personal consumption expenditures and retail sales numbers have continued to forge upward. But eventually, this attitude will wane as people realize that the higher rates aren't a flash in the pan. The Treasury yield curve measures the different interest rates that are paid out on various bonds issued by the US government. It's the same story every time, both Kantrowitz and Rosenberg say: Investors are bad at pricing in a recession before it unfolds.
Persons: Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Milton Friedman, Bob Doll, Doll, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Tom Essaye, Essaye, Granger, Kantrowitz, Jerome Powell, William Edwards Organizations: Philadelphia Fed, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Consumer, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Silicon Valley Bank, Rosenberg Research, Fed, Auto, Wall, CPI, Institute for Supply Management's, Treasury, Royal Bank of Canada Locations: Silicon, YOLO
Bob Doll thinks a mild recession will hit the US economy sometime in the near-to-mid future. Outside of the stock market, Doll also thinks bonds are relatively attractive compared to last year. Within the bond market, he likes Treasurys most, with 10-year yields offering more than a 4% coupon. A 1.5% 10-year Treasury is a bad deal, and of course bonds have sold off hard," he said. Treasury bonds can be bought via a brokerage or through TreasuryDirect.
Persons: Bob Doll, Bob Doll isn't, Doll, Phillips, refiners Organizations: Conference, BlackRock, Valero, Aaa, Treasury Locations: HMOs, TreasuryDirect
The inverted yield curve and The Conference Board's LEI are two indicators that inform his view. Instead, investors should be paying attention to indicators like the Treasury yield curve, The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, and money growth. Here's the yield curve. And the start of a recession typically comes a bunch of of months after the yield curve inverts. The yield curve didn't invert until less than a year ago.
Persons: Bob Doll, LEI, Doll, Wall, — Bank of America's Michael Gapen, Michael Feroli —, we're, Louis, It's, Rosenberg Research's David Rosenberg, Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, Greg Boutle, Tom Lee Organizations: Federal Reserve, — Bank of America's, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Fed, Louis Investors, Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg, BNP, Institute for Supply, Institute for Supply Management, of Labor Statistics Locations: Wells
Crossmark's Bob Doll: Valuations are stretched
  + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCrossmark's Bob Doll: Valuations are stretchedBob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments CIO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why the market performance year-to-date hasn't created more of a chasing environment, when the market weakness will show itself, and more.
Persons: Bob Doll, hasn't Organizations: Global Investments
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLatest jobs data shows the Fed is going to have to stay high for longer, says BD8's Barbara DoranBarbara Doran, BD8 Capital Partners CIO, and Bob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments CIO, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to discuss the day's market action, the U.S. jobs report, and more.
Persons: Barbara Doran Barbara Doran, Bob Doll Organizations: BD8 Capital, Global Investments Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCrossmark's Bob Doll: Now's the time to be cautious and 'take a little off' on ralliesBob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments CIO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss last Friday's jobs report, when the Federal Reserve's interest rate push will go through the economy, and more.
Persons: Bob Doll Organizations: Global Investments
Year-to-date, the S&P 500 is up 8%. Plus, when the Consumer Price Index is between 4-6% like it is now, it usually dictates that the S&P 500 trades at a lower multiple than it is. "For example, at the current S&P 500 P/E of 19, the earnings yield for stocks is 1 divided by 19, or ~5.2%. While he sees 15% downside in the months ahead, he also believes the S&P 500 will return to current levels by the end of 2023. Morgan StanleyWilson has also repeatedly warned of an earnings recession ahead, and recently said that the pullback in lending from banks strengthens his case.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFind cheap value stocks that have momentum, says Crossmark's Bob DollBob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments CIO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss finding growth and value stocks, Kevin McCarthy's debt ceiling comments, and more.
Reducing inflation is likely to require a period of below-trend growth and some softening in labor market conditions," Powell said. "Restoring price stability is essential to set the stage for achieving maximum employment and stable prices over the longer run." A large enough pullback in lending will send the economy into a downward spiral, he said. "If you get a credit crunch, you could have an immediate downturn in the economy, a very quick downturn," he said. Credit spreads are the gap between high-risk bond yields and yields on risk-free bonds.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBanking crisis increases the probability of a recession, says Crossmark’s Bob DollBob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments CIO, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss why he suggests trimming mega-cap tech, why the Treasury market is a good place to be, and more.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Crossmark’s Bob Doll and 3Fourteen Research’s Warren PiesCrossmark’s Bob Doll and 3Fourteen’s Warren Pies, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss this weeks top sectors and what to expect next week with an upcoming Fed meeting.
Trim up on tech, says 3Fourteen Research’s Warren Pies
  + stars: | 2023-03-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrim up on tech, says 3Fourteen Research’s Warren PiesCrossmark’s Bob Doll and 3Fourteen Research’s Warren Pies, join 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss this week's top sectors and what to expect next week after the Fed meeting.
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